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Tolu Smith
ROTATION PIECE

Tolu Smith

DET F Age 25.9 2 seasons
ESPN 4397882 BRef smithto01 NBA 1642449
DYNASTY EQUITY
-0.327
Dynasty curve endpoint
CAREER SIGNAL
0.86
Career production rate
RECENT FORM
0.86
Recent form (EMA)
AGE RUNWAY
25.9
Rising window

Career SCEPTER Chart

Dynasty Equity

Dynasty asset value. Builds on consistent production over time.

Career Signal

Career production rate, weighted toward recent games.

Recent Form

20-game rolling average. April and low-context games discounted.

Raw Games

Per-game fantasy value. Raw score shows ceiling and volatility.

SCEPTER VALUE PROFILE

What are you actually holding?

Deep-league watchlist / speculative stash
Tiny-Sample Signal Upside Stash

Tolu Smith is best understood as a Tiny-Sample Signal. The signal is interesting, but the proof is not there yet. Treat the spike as information, not a settled dynasty answer.

Mostly aligned

The market story and the actual production profile are broadly in sync.

0
Market51
Production51
Ceiling78
Longevity77
Liquidity54
Role Security29
Scarcity26

Proof file

10Games
220+ min
028+ min
14.6Avg MP

Decision prompts

  • Is this a real role forming, or just a noisy sample?
  • Can you afford to wait for the pathway to open?

Build Profile

EfficiencyReboundsDefenseScoringPlaymakingShooting
ROTATION PIECE
Efficiency
58
Rebounds
55
Defense
31
Scoring
23
Playmaking
20
Shooting
0

Similar Builds

Players with similar stat profiles and archetype.

Season Averages

SeasonTeamGMP PTS3PMREBAST STLBLKTOVFG%FT%
2025 DET 1 22.0 14.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.667 0.667
2026 DET 15 9.1 3.7 0.0 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.500 0.667

Career Game Logs

DateSsnTmOppH/ARes MPPTS3PMREBAST STLBLKTOVFGFGAFG% FTFTAFT%+/-2.0
2026-04-12 2026 DET IND @ W 6 5 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 0.500 3 4 0.750 -4 0.52
2026-04-08 2026 DET MIL vs W 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2 DNP
2026-04-06 2026 DET ORL @ L 13 8 0 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 0.600 2 4 0.500 +8 0.74
2026-03-31 2026 DET OKC @ L 19 4 0 7 3 0 1 1 1 3 0.333 2 4 0.500 +1 1.26
2026-03-28 2026 DET MIN @ W 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1 DNP
2026-03-26 2026 DET NO vs W 2 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1.000 0 0 +0 DNP
2026-03-20 2026 DET GS vs W 4 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1.000 0 0 -6 DNP
2026-03-19 2026 DET WSH @ W 3 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0.500 0 0 +1 DNP
2026-02-20 2026 DET NY @ W 18 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 0.667 0 0 +1 0.45
2026-02-12 2026 DET TOR @ W 15 3 0 3 2 0 0 1 1 3 0.333 1 3 0.333 -3 0.23
2026-01-11 2026 DET LAC vs L 26 9 0 14 1 1 4 2 1 7 0.143 7 8 0.875 +0 2.88
2026-01-08 2026 DET CHI vs W 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0 DNP
2026-01-06 2026 DET NY vs W 5 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +5 0.00
2025-11-13 2026 DET CHI vs W 16 6 0 7 2 0 1 0 3 4 0.750 0 0 -14 1.73
2025-10-27 2026 DET CLE vs L 6 11 0 4 0 1 0 1 3 4 0.750 5 7 0.714 +12 0.95
2025-04-13 2025 DET MIL @ L 22 14 0 8 0 0 0 2 6 9 0.667 2 3 0.667 +0 1.00